Thursday, March 16, 2006

Automobile math

Two people have asked me why I am worried about bird flu pandemic rather than car accidents.

Let's run those numbers.

About 40,000 die in car accidents every year here in the USA where there are 295,724,134 people, give or take a person or two.

0.14% deaths to car accidents

5% to 50% deaths to a pandemic.

Even using the best case scenario, for every 14 people who die in a car crash there will be 500 who die after crashing into that little old virus. And if the virus is strong 5000.

So if cars and a strong virus competed in a killing contest in my home town, the automobiles would take out the people shopping and working at Miller's Market at any given moment, while the virus would eliminate every person living in 3 complete towns the size of Averill Park (pop 1554)

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